Kusagadzikana kwehupfumi kunowanzoparira kutizira kwakachengeteka, negoridhe richibuda sechitoro chakavimbika cheukoshi. Munguva yekudzikira, kuparara kwemusika wemasheya, kana matambudziko emabhangi, vatengesi vanodirana kugoridhe kuchengetedza mari. Semuenzaniso, panguva yematambudziko emari muna 2008, mitengo yegoridhe yakakwira kupfuura 24% sezvo misika yemisika yakadonha. Saizvozvo, kusagadzikana kwehupfumi mukati meCOVID-19 denda rakaona goridhe richisvika pakakwirira-nguva yese yemadhora zviuru zviviri kana imwe muna 2020.
Impact paKuchengeta Demand:
Kukwidziridzwa kusimba kunokurudzira vanoisa mari kuti vashandure zvinhu zvemapepa kuita goridhe chairo, zvichiwedzera kudiwa kwekuchengetedza kwakachengeteka. Muna 2022, pakati pekukwira kwemitengo uye kusawirirana kwezvematongerwo enyika, kudiwa kwegoridhe repasi rose kwakakwira 18% gore-negore, nemabhawa enyama nemari inoverengera chikamu chakakosha. Kuchinja uku kunosimbisa kubatana pakati pekushushikana kwehupfumi uye kudiwa kwekuchengetedzwa kwezvinhu zvinobatika.
Goridhe ragara richidzivirira kukwira kwemitengo. Kusiyana nemari yefiat, iyo inorasikirwa nekukosha sezvo hurumende dzichidhinda mari, kushomeka kwegoridhe kunochengetedza kukosha kwayo. Sezvakaitika kare, nguva dzekukwira kwemitengo yepamusoro dzinoenderana nekukwira kwemitengo yegoridhe. Muma1970, US inflation yakawedzera 7% pagore, ichisunda goridhe kubva pamadhora makumi matatu neshanu kusvika pamadhora mazana masere nemakumi masere nemashanu panosvika 1980.
Kuchengeta Kufunga:
Goridhe iri kutengwa kuUS madhora, zvichiita kuti kukosha kwayo kuenderane nekusimba kwemadhora. Iyo isina kusimba greenback inoita kuti goridhe ridhure kune vatengi vekunze, kuwedzera kudiwa. Semuenzaniso, muna 2020, index yemadhora yakadonha gumi nemaviri muzana, nepo mitengo yegoridhe yakakwira 25%.
Impact paKuchengeta:
vatengesi vemarudzi akawanda vanowanzochengeta goridhe munzvimbo dzakagadzikana dzine mari yakasimba. Sezvineiwo, vagari vemunyika dzine mari isingachinjiki (semuenzaniso, Argentina kana Turkey) vanogona kusarudza chengetedzo yekumahombekombe kuti vadzivirire pakudonha kwemari yemuno.
Storage Dynamics:
Hondo, zvirango, uye nyonganyonga yezvamatongerwe enyika zvinowedzera kukwezva kwendarama. Kupinda kweRussia muna 2022 kuUkraine, semuenzaniso, kwakakonzera kukwira kwe6% kwemitengo yegoridhe sezvo varimi vaitsvaga kupotera. Saizvozvo, mabhanga epakati muAsia neEastern Europe akamhanyisa kutenga goridhe kuti asiyane kubva kuUS. Treasury holdings pakati penjodzi dzezvirango.
Storage Strategy:
Vanodyara mari mumatunhu asina kugadzikana vanowanzo sarudza nzvimbo dzekunze kwenyika munyika dzisina kwazvakarerekera seSwitzerland kana Singapore. Maitiro aya akawedzera mushure mekunge nzvimbo dzekuRussia dzakaomeswa nechando muna 2022, zvichiita kuti misika iri kusimukira idzore kana kusiyanisa nzvimbo dzekuchengetera.
Golds finite supply inosimbisa kukosha kwayo. Kuburitswa kwepagore kwemugodhi (kunosvika 3,600 matani) kunosangana nekudiwa kwakasimba kubva kune zvishongo (45%), tekinoroji (8%), nekudyara (47%). Mabhanga eCentral, akatenga matani zana nemakumi matatu nematanhatu muna 2022 (IMF data), akawedzera kusimbisa misika.
Impact paKuchengeta:
Zvipingamupinyi zvekutengesa uye kukwira kuri kudiwa zvinogona kukwidza mitengo, zvichikurudzira kuchengetedza kwakavanzika. Semuyenzaniso, maChina anosundidzira kuzviriritira mukuchera goridhe uye maIndia ari kuwedzera kudiwa kwezvishongo zvinoratidza mafambiro ekuchengetedza edunhu akasungirirwa kumaketani ezvekutengesa emuno.
Ndarama chaiyo inoda kuchengetedzwa kwakachengeteka, izvo zvinounza mari. Sarudzo dzinosanganisira:
Strategic Trade-offs:
Vagadziri vemari vanoyera mutengo, kuwanikwa, uye chengetedzo. Semuyenzaniso, mutengesi anotengesa anogona kukoshesa kugona, ukuwo masangano achisarudza kupihwa inishuwarenzi yakazara, yakagovaniswa mavhairi munzvimbo dzemari seLondon kana Zurich.
Hurumende dzinokurudzira kuchengetwa kwegoridhe kuburikidza nemitero uye mitemo yevaridzi. MuIndia, kutakura goridhe kuri pasi pemutero wehupfumi, zvichikonzera kudiwa kwekuchengetera zvine hungwaru. IUS mitero yegoridhe seyakaunganidzwa (28% capital gains rate), nepo Singapore yakabvisa GST pagoridhe muna 2020, ikava nzvimbo yekuchengetera.
Offshore vs. Domestic Storage:
Zvekuvanzika zvinofambisa kugoverwa kwemahombekombe. Switzerland, ine mitemo yayo yakasimba yekuvanzika kwebhanga, inobata ~ 25% yematura egoridhe pasi rose. Sezvineiwo, marongero ekudzosera senge veVenezuelas 2019 kuedza kutora goridhe kubva kuBhange reEngland rinoratidza njodzi dzezvematongerwo enyika dzekuchengetedza kunze kwenyika.
Innovation iri kushandura zvigadziriso zvekuchengetedza:
Kufambira mberi uku kunoderedza mitengo uye kuwedzera kujeka, zvichiita kuti chengetedzo iwanikwe kune vadiki vemari.
Kusimuka kweESG (Environmental, Social, Governance) kuisa mari kuri kugadzirisa kudiwa kwegoridhe. Migodhi yechinyakare yakatarisana nekuongororwa kutemwa kwemasango uye kusvibiswa kwemekiyuri. Mukupindura, 15% yegoridhe repasi rose ikozvino rinobva kunzvimbo dzakadzokororwa, uye zvitupa zvakaita seResponsible Jewellery Council (RJC) chiyero chiri kuwana traction.
Kuchengeta Zvinoreva:
Goridhe rakacheneswa zvine hutsika rinoraira premium, richipesvedzera sarudzo dzekuchengetedza. Vagadziri vemari vanogona kubhadhara yakawedzera kuchengetedza goridhe rakasimbiswa mune eco-inoshamwaridzika vaults, kuenzanisa mapotifoliyo ane zvibodzwa zvekusimudzira.
Kuchengetera goridhe mari haisi yekungoitawo pakufamba kwemitengo asi kupindirana kwemasimba ehupfumi, kushivirira kwenjodzi, uye kuita zvinhu. Kuti ufambe muchimiro ichi:
Munguva yekuwedzera kwemari kusati kwamboitika uye njodzi dzehurongwa, goridhe rinoramba riri dombo repakona rekusimba kwemari. Nekunzwisisa zvinhu zvinoumba chengetedzo yayo, vanoisa mari vanogona kusimbisa hupfumi hwavo kurwisa mafungu ekusava nechokwadi.
Kungave kuchengetedza kubva mukukwira kwemitengo, kudonha kwemari, kana mhirizhonga yezvematongerwo enyika, kuchengetedza goridhe zvese inyanzvi nesainzi. Sarudzo dzine ruzivo nhasi dzinogona kuve nechokwadi chekuti pfuma yekare iyi inoramba ichipenya sechiedza chechengeteko kuzvizvarwa zvichauya.
Kubva pa199, sangana nezvishongo zvako zvakavambwa muGuangzhou, China, zvishongo zvibodzwa zvechikepe. Isu tiri zvishongo zvebhizinesi yekubatanidza dhizaini, kugadzirwa nekutengeswa.
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